Clark, J.C.D. "British America: What if there had been no American Revolution?"
Summary: Begins with speculation that if the colonies in North America had their own parliament (much as Scotland and Ireland did prior to the Act of Union), perhaps through the continued existence of the Dominion of New England created by James II, there probably would have been no revolt in the 1770s. After that, this counterfactual essay settles into a long discussion about the causes of the American Revolution.
Published: In Virtual History: Alternatives and Counterfactuals (ed. Niall Ferguson), q.v.